This book reminded me a bit of “Clash of civilizations” by Samuel Huntington because they have more or less a similar frame. The book seems to be somehow prophetic in forecasting the future of world events with regard to business environment.
It is true that the book is a collection that brings together some of the best minds from around the globe to address the great challenges of the next decade and the main part of the content is grounded on figures statistics and trend.
However, every reader might become skeptical about the future events forecasted by the book especially in the nowadays world where everything changes so rapidly and nothing can be predictable.
The book, despite that, it is based on figures, data and statistics, looks like the conspiracy agenda book which try to serve to the readers that there are some mysterious powers which are able to shape the world trend. With this regard the book is very attractive and you sink deep into its descriptions on the future business.
You are right,but wrong.It is a fact that the future is very unpredictable and it has never been like this in the past.First of all, the things are changing very rapidly.Beside that, economic development level of the world has reached a very high point which makes movement of the world's center from some countries to other ones very difficult. Let's think about movement of dominance from Ottoman Empire to Great Britain.It was not so difficult,complicated,unpredictable as it is today.Because,the factor which had kept Ottoman Empire in the dominant position was not industrial development at all that had carried Great Britain to this position.It is very clear and simple: you invent something doesn't exist anywhere in the world and it leads you to be the new leader of the world.Another example is movement from Great Britain to the USA.At that time, there was a big potential to develop (after all damages of two world wars)which could not be performed only by Great Britain,but by a geographically larger country.When we look at the present situation, we face with a different picture where it is very difficult to predict the things will happen in the future.According to me, the main reason of this uncertanity is that China and India don't invent something new as it happened in the past movements of dominance,but try to get bigger and bigger share from the industrial production which is limited due to some constraints such as amount of raw materials in the world,demand for goods.I think, for this reason, the author's predictions for the two emerging economies are not explained very well and leave many points as uncertain.
YanıtlaSilEduina Hocam,
YanıtlaSilI share the same suspicions about the book. Firstly, as you have written everything changes fast. Secondly, you can throw a stone at any point of glass and where you want but you can't be sure which line the crack will follow. But mainly I often wonder if these authors have any connection with other parts of planet and life except for some statistics. They sometimes seem so blind. And they are telling which road to follow.
yes eduina
YanıtlaSili agree with you some of information here need a review and audit
because some of items here have conflict with others , also i think the energy consumers will be more than now , and also for enviroment , i think we will wait a bad planet enviroment in the future
The energy consumers are growing up fastly but there will be alternative ways of energy i guess
YanıtlaSilDear Eduina,
YanıtlaSilYour post also shares the same idea as most of us. It seems this book has a lot of contradictions in itself, baseless assumptions and it also has brought a panic about the future to many people. However, there are also some facts which are already occurring but unfortunately they are not very good and we actually do not want to accept them. Being optimistic is the best thing for human beings, everything can change in an unpredictable way and people can not manage certain things/ situations, just God can.
BR,
Erisa